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Sunday, June 30, 2019

Box Office: 'Toy Story 4' Nears $500 Million, 'Aladdin' Nears $875 Million And 'Dark Phoenix' Bottoms Out


Toy Story 4 topped the weekend box office for a second time, earning $58 million (-52%) to bring its ten-day domestic total to $237 million. In terms of second-weekend drops, that's a drop right between Incredibles 2 (-56%), Minions (-57%) and Shrek the Third (-56%) and Toy Story 3 (-46%) and Finding Dory (-46%). In terms of ten-day cumes, it's closer to Toy Story 3 ($226 million) than Finding Dory ($286 million).
It started earning less than Toy Story 3 on a day to day basis right after that $20 million Tuesday. It'll likely fall behind the 2010 sequel's running cume sometime early next week. With a new global cume of $496.5 million, this merely means is that the Pixar sequel may have to settle for most of the money instead of "all the money."
If it continues to leg like Shrek the Third and Minions, it'll still end up between $360 million and $370 million, or right between the adjusted totals of Up ($290 million in 2009/$353 million adjusted) and The Incredibles ($262 million in 2004/$370 million adjusted). But if it legs like Incredibles 2 going forward, it'll end up just over/under the $406 million adjusted gross ($255 million in 2001) of Monsters Inc. So, expectations notwithstanding, it's still playing like an upper-level Pixar flick.
Once again, any of Toy Story 4's loss is arguably Aladdin's gain. The other Walt Disney biggie, arguably the more important one in the equation, earned another $9.344 million (-29%) this weekend. It also crossed the $300 million mark in North America, ending the frame with $305.8 million domestic total. The $183 million-budgeted Guy Ritchie-directed musical has now earned a stunning $874 million worldwide.
Aladdin is already Will Smith's biggest grossing movie in unadjusted global grossers, soaring past the $817 million cume of 1996's Independence Day last week. The film should top out past the $325 million domestic total of Suicide Squad to take the domestic crown as well. A domestic finish above the (unadjusted) $334 million cume of Alice in Wonderland is not out of the question, nor is an eventual global gross above wherever Toy Story 4 ends.
Universal and Illumination's $80 million-budgeted The Secret Life of Pets 2 earned another $7.1 million (-31%) in weekend four for a $131.2 million domestic and $223 million worldwide cume. Like Annabelle Comes Home (which recovered a little for a $31 million Wed-Sun debut), this sequel is absolutely going to make money but is absolutely a disappointing considering the brand and expectations. Oh well, bring on Minions 2: The Rise of Gru. Hey, that's a sequel/prequel combo just like Annabelle Comes Home. Uh oh!
Child's Play dropped hard in its second weekend, earning just $4.276 million (-70%) and bringing its ten-day total to $23.405 million. As feared, Warner Bros. moving Annabelle Comes Home up by a few days (presumably to avoid crashing into Spider-Man: Far From Home and Stranger Things season 3) put the hurt into the other killer doll movie. Ironically, this Orion/United Artists Releasing remake of the 1988 slasher classic was a lot better than everyone expected.
That said, when folks don't want the product, even decent reviews and "Hey, no, no, wait, this is good!" buzz can't move the needle. It's a pattern we've seen all year, where franchise titles, even well-reviewed ones, have stumbled because audiences didn't have an innate interest in a next chapter or a new version. It's why John Wick: Chapter 3 will cross $160 million domestic and $300 million today, but Men In Black: International ($65 million domestic by today) may not top $250 million worldwide.
Rocketman grossed $3.87 million (-37%) in its fifth weekend for a new $84.174 million cume, giving it a shot at passing $90 million domestic by the end. The $40 million, R-rated Elton John biopic has earned $165.5 million worldwide. Godzilla: King of the Monsters has now earned $106.5 million domestic and $377 million worldwide. Dark Phoenix grossed $1.66 million (-53%) in weekend four for a $63.6 million domestic and $244 million global cume. Luc Besson's (slightly underrated) Anna will drop 61% for a $1.4 million weekend (from a $3.8 million debut) for a terrible $6.631 million ten-day total.

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